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April 2025 Newsletter
Market Updates and Top Stock Picks from Singapore & US market
Hello everyone,
As we step into Q2 2025, the financial markets are experiencing heightened volatility. In March, the S&P 500 entered correction territory, reflecting investor concerns over escalating trade tensions and potential economic slowdown. The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25% to 4.5%, acknowledging increased uncertainty and adjusting growth forecasts downward. Additionally, President Trump's recent tariff announcements have contributed to market fluctuations, prompting discussions about inflationary pressures and recession risks.
Volatility can be nerve-wracking, but it also creates opportunities. Whether you're navigating this storm looking for bargains or waiting for clearer skies, having a solid game plan is key. My team and I will continue to bring you the latest insights, so you can make informed moves and stay ahead of the curve.
Your No.1 Fan,
Joey Choy

Market Overview
Singapore

Straits Times Index (TradingView)
Straits Times Index (STI) is a market capitalisation weighted index that tracks the performance of the top 30 companies listed on SGX.
Approaching the 4,000 resistance, where a potential break above this key level could see a new higher support being form where the upside could continue, backed by the longer term moving averages still heading up
The index had rebounded from the 3,800 support level after short term weakness was experienced, the 20d Moving Average had resumed its upward trajectory.
Upside target can be drawn toward the 4,200, if the index breaks this consolidation phrase.
Supported by steady GDP growth projections of 1% to 3% and easing inflation, with core inflation expected to moderate to around 1.5%.
Hot News (Click to read):

Dow Jones Industrial Average (TradingView)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the daily price movements of 30 large, public-owned blue-chip American companies.
Rebounding from 41,000, the Index had seem to have recovered from the recent weakness after it had retreated from the 45,000 earlier this year, with the 20d MA still pointing down, proceeding with caution in the nearer term would be advised.

S&P 500 (TradingView)
S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of the 500 leading companies in the US which is widely considered as one of the best gauge of the US economy.
Similarly the S&P500 had saw weakness where the 5,800 psychological level gave way as the index headed toward the 5,500 support level where buying interest resumed. Currently, the 100d Moving average looks to be flattening out. If the index is able to head toward the psychological 6,000 resistance, the longer term uptrend could continue.
Recent economic forecasts suggest a deceleration in growth. The Federal Reserve has adjusted its 2025 GDP growth estimate downward to 1.7%, a decline from the earlier projection of 2.1%.
Concurrently, core inflation is anticipated to reach 2.8% by year-end, surpassing the Fed's 2% target.
The Federal Reserve has maintained current interest rates but signaled the possibility of two rate cuts later in the year to support economic activity amid inflationary pressures.
Hot News (Click to read):
Singapore Stocks Spotlight
ST Engineering (S63.SI)
Target Price: S$7.00

ST Engineering (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 24 Jan 25, No Exit Signal Yet
About ST Engineering
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd provides solutions and services in the aerospace, electronics, land systems, and marine sectors
Operates through the following business segments: Commercial Aerospace, Urban Solutions and Satcom and Defence and Public Security
Fundamental
In the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, ST Engineering reported robust financial results, revenue came in at $11.28B, a 12% increase from the previous year
Net profits increased to $702M, up 20% year on year
Earnings before Interest and Tax also increased by 18% to $1.08B
In December 2024, the company entered into a strategic agreement with Kazakhstan Paramount Engineering to establish in-country production capabilities for a new 8x8 armored vehicle, reflecting the company's commitment to expanding its global footprint and defense offerings
Plans to continue to expand internationally in both defense and commercial markets
Technical
Both short-term and long-term uptrend remains firmly intact with all 3 moving averages heading up
Immediate temporary support around 6.30, while resistance is near the 7.00 psychological level, where selling pressure is present
Price has found a new higher key support level around 5.80
1GT bullish signal in January is still playing out, with no exit yet
Would be good to observe a sideway consolidation first before price push higher, in order for uptrend to remain sustainable
GLD US$ (O87.SI)
Target Price: US$300

GLD US$ (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry signal appeared on 22 Nov 24, No Exit Signal yet
About GLD US$
ETF managed and marketed by State Street Global Advisors
Designed to initially track the price of a tenth of a troy ounce of gold
Fundamental
In view of Trump’s administration uncertainty & volatility, gold provides a natural hedge against inflation and is generally regarded as a safe-haven investment
Trading GLD shares in the secondary market or via a Trust may be lower than the costs associated with buying, storing and insuring physical gold in a traditional allocated gold bullion account
Inverse relationship between gold prices and US dollar
Technical
Uptrend remains firmly intact with price consistently heading higher and finding new higher support
Currently price is still trading above trailing support, affirming the uptrend, with an immediate support around 272 - 274
Key support is found around 263, where price bounced off the trailing support before pushing higher
As long as price is able to hold firmly above 263 and the general market continues to be volatile, would not rule out more upside towards 300 as investors flock to gold as a safe-haven instrument
SEMBCORP IND (U96.SI)
Target Price: S$7.10

Sembcorp Ind (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 21 Feb 25, No Exit Signal Yet
About Sembcorp Ind
A leading energy and urban development group focused on sustainable solutions
Operates across power generation, renewable energy (solar, wind), and utilities
Key presence in Singapore, Southeast Asia, India, China, and the UK
Has shifted strategic focus towards green energy, aligning with global decarbonisation trends
Fundamental
FY2024 net profit before exceptional items (EI) stood at S$1.02B, maintaining levels seen in FY2023 despite planned maintenance
Renewable expansion by adding 4.1GW of new renewables capacity, bringing total to 17.0GW, including 13.1GW of installed capacity
Proposed final dividend of 17.0 cents, bringing total FY24 payout to 23.0 cents, a 77% increase from FY2023
Gas and Related Services segment posted S$727M in net profit before EI, while Integrated Urban Solutions surged 40% YoY to S$169M
Over 98% of gas-fired power portfolio is backed by long-term contracts, with 60% locked in for over five years, ensuring earnings visibility
Technical
Price has broken above the key 5.80 level, turning it to become a higher support
A hammer candlestick pattern appeared on 14 Mar (near the support) which provides confirmation on buying interest in the support zone
Immediate resistance around 6.50, where selling pressure is at
Short-term strength based on 20d MA is firmly intact, heading up steeply, while longer-term trend based on 100d and 200d MA is sloping upwards, indicating uptrend is intact
If price is able to break and hold above 6.50, would not rule out more upside towards 7.20
However, around 7.00 psychological level, perhaps we may see some profit-taking return first
United States Stocks Spotlight
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INC (BRK.B.NY)
Target Price: US$580.00

Berkshire Hathaway Inc (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 24 Feb 25, No Exit Signal Yet
About Berkshire Hathaway Inc
Globally involved in insurance, freight rail transportation, and utilities
Offers a range of insurance services and operates rail systems in North America
Established in 1998, headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska
Fundamental
Berkshire holds around $350B in cash, providing strong flexibility for future investments
Operating profit grew strongly to $47.4B in FY2024, driven by insurance and investment segments
Its insurance segment continues to deliver double-digit revenue growth with EBIT margins above 25%
Cyclical businesses like railroads, energy, and manufacturing make up over half of operating EBIT and are benefiting from U.S. economic growth
Stable earnings, diversified segments, and strategic shift toward U.S. Treasuries position the company defensively for future volatility
Technical
Price has found a new higher support around 490, which was previously the resistance level as seen from the inverted hammer candlestick’s long upper shadow on 27 Nov 24
Potential accumulation on the dips around 490 - 500
Immediate resistance appears to be around 540, where some profit-taking could return first
Uptrend remains intact as all 3 MAs are still heading upwards with 2 consecutive 1GT bullish signals playing out with no exit signals yet
Recent News (Click to Read)
CARDINAL HEALTH INC (CAH.NY)
Target Price: US$140.00

Cardinal Health Inc (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 15 Jan 25, No Exit Signal Yet
About Cardinal Health
Cardinal Health is a leading distributor of pharmaceuticals and medical products, serving hospitals, pharmacies, and other healthcare providers across the U.S
The company operates through two main segments: Pharmaceutical & Specialty Solutions and Medical (GMPD) and is also investing in automation, nuclear medicine, at-home healthcare, and next-gen therapies like cell and gene treatments
Fundamental
Q2 earnings came in strong with EPS at $1.93 (above estimates by $0.17) and revenue at $55.26B (beating by $247M)
Specialty growth remains a key profit driver, with 16% YoY growth in Q2 and rising contribution from high-margin services
Strong margin expansion driven by cost control, inflation easing, and favorable product mix (specialty, consumer health, generics)
Strategic acquisitions (GI Alliance, ION) expanding reach into high-growth therapeutic areas like gastroenterology and oncology
Free Cash Flow was temporarily negative in Q2 due to acquisition timing but expected to recover in H2
Technical
Since 2025, price has been trading within a range around 124 - 130, where it has recently broke above the upper bound, forming a new higher support level
Uptrend remains intact as all 3 MAs are still heading upwards
Price is also currently trading above the trailing support, aligning with the uptrend
Potential upside target towards 140, as long as the key support around 124 - 125 holds
Recent News (Click to Read)
SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY S.A (SPOT.NY)
Target Price: US$640.00

Spotify Technology S.A (TradingView)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 21 Mar 25, No Exit Signal Yet
About Spotify
Spotify is a leading global audio streaming platform offering music, podcasts, and audiobooks
The company operates on a freemium model with free ad-supported and premium paid tiers
With continuous innovations, Spotify is expanding into video content, higher-tier pricing, and creator monetization tools to deepen user engagement and revenue growth
Fundamental
Spotify ended 2024 with all-time highs in revenue (€4.2B), gross margin (32.2%), operating income (€477M), and free cash flow (€877M)
Monthly active users (MAUs) grew by 35M to 675M, and premium subscribers rose by 11M to 263M in Q4 alone
Management dubbed 2025 the “year of accelerated execution,” prioritizing faster product launches, improved monetization, and disciplined investment in core music/video offerings
Gross margin is projected to remain strong despite Q1 seasonality, with full-year profitability expected to improve on top of 2024’s gains
Technical
Price has rebounded from the 480 support level after witnessing general market weakness and tech stock sell down in Feb 25
Immediate resistance around 640, where some profit-taking may return first
Longer-term uptrend based on 100d and 200d MA still intact and heading up
If price is able to break and hold firmly above resistance, 20d MA starts to point up as well, would not rule out more upside towards psychological 700 first
Recent News (Click to Read)
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