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December 2024 Newsletter
Hello everyone,
As we close out 2024, I want to extend my heartfelt gratitude for your continued support and positive feedback throughout the year. December marks a pivotal time for markets as we navigate year-end Federal Reserve decisions and broader economic transitions under President Trump. The holiday season is also a perfect moment to reflect and connect. Your engagement keeps this community thriving, and we’re committed to providing even more value as we move into the new year.
Wishing you and your loved ones a joyful holiday season!
Market Overview
Singapore
Straits Times Index (TradingView) - TO CHANGE
Straits Times Index (STI) is a market capitalisation weighted index that tracks the performance of the top 30 companies listed on SGX.
Core and overall inflation fell more than expected in October, with economists expecting it to continue to ease into 2025.
Core Inflation (stripping out private transport and accommodation cost) fell to 2.1% year on year from 2.8% in September. This was also below the 2.5% general consensus by economist in a Bloomberg poll
The drop was mainly led by slower price rises in services, electricity and gas, and retail and other goods.
Overall, or headline, inflation fell to 1.4 per cent year on year in October – the lowest reading since March 2021. The drop was led by slower accommodation inflation and a steeper fall in private transport costs.
With the 3,700 psychological resistance giving way, to form a new support, we see prices continue to head toward the 3,800 new resistance level.
With the 20d MA still pointing up and prices holding above it, momentum could continue where the resistance level is tested.
The longer term uptrend remains intact as well with the 100d MA still holding above the 200d MA. Potential target toward the 3,900 if the 3,800 level is breached.
United States
Dow Jones Industrial Average (TradingView)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the daily price movements of 30 large, public-owned blue-chip American companies.
At an all time high where the 44,400 psychological support level continues to hold as prices head higher, the uptrend remains intact with the 3 moving averages still pointing up, With upside toward the 45,000 as long as the key 43,500 level is intact.
S&P 500 (TradingView)
S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of the 500 leading companies in the US which is widely considered as one of the best gauge of the US economy.
The index continues to test the 6,000 key level with current support still being held at 5,600 - 5,700, as long as the 3 moving averages continue to point up, could see upside toward 6,500.
Inflation ticked higher, with the Fed's preferred gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, rising 0.2% monthly and 2.3% annually, slightly above September's 2.1%. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% monthly and 2.8% annually, driven by rising services costs, while goods and energy prices fell.
Despite significant declines from 2022 peaks, inflation remains a concern, fueling expectations for another Fed rate cut in December. Consumer spending rose 0.4% in October, supported by a 0.6% income jump, though the saving rate dipped to 4.4%.
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OUR TOP FAVOURITE STOCK FOR SG MARKET
DBS (D05.SI)
Target Price: S$43.00
DBS (TradingView)
DBS (1GT System)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 7 Nov 24, No Exits Yet
About DBS
DBS Group Holdings Ltd engages in retail, small and medium-sized enterprise, corporate, and investment banking services
Operates through the following business segments: Consumer Banking, Wealth Management, Institutional Banking, Treasury Markets
Fundamental
DBS posted a record net profit of SGD 3.03b in 3Q24, up 15% YoY, with income rising 11% to SGD 5.75b, driven by strong growth across multiple segments
Non-performing loans (NPL) ratio fell to 1.0% with an 8% drop in non-performing assets, supported by robust allowance coverage of 135%
Announced a SGD 3 billion share buyback and a quarterly dividend of SGD 0.54 per share, raising nine-month dividends to SGD 1.62 per share
Technical
Uptrend is firmly intact with all 3 MAs heading higher
Key psychological support is around 40.00 to consider accumulating on the dips
Immediate psychological resistance is around 43.00 where selling pressure may return first
If price can firmly break above the resistance, would not rule out more potential upside towards 46.00rend Webclass by Joey Choy
OUR TOP FAVOURITE STOCK FOR US MARKET
META PLATFORM INC (META.NQ)
Target Price: US$640.00
Meta Platforms Inc (Tradingview)
Meta Platforms Inc (1GT System)
1GT Bearish Entry Signal Appeared on 15 Nov 24, No Exits Yet
About Meta Platforms Inc
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality headsets, and wearables worldwide
It operates in two segments, Family of Apps and Reality Labs
Fundamental
Q3 revenue grew 20% YoY to $38b, driven by higher ad impressions and steady ad pricing, reflecting strong ad demand across Meta's platforms
Net income rose 30% YoY to $11.6b, with operating margin improving to 37%
Free cash flow increased 14% YoY to $15.5 billion, backed by $24.7b in operating cash flow
Meta advanced AI tools like Meta AI and Llama, while Reality Labs posted a $4.4b loss due to continued AR/VR investments
Technical
Long term uptrend remains intact as both 100d and 200d MA are still heading upwards, despite seeing some short-term weakness with the 20d MA sloping down
Price is testing the immediate support around 545.00, where we could see some buying interest return
Immediate psychological resistance looks to be around 600 where sellers took control over the past months
If price breaks below the support, we could potentially see sideway consolidation again between 440 - 540
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