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- November 2024 Newsletter
November 2024 Newsletter
Market Updates and Top Stock Picks from Singapore & US market
Hello everyone,
As we head into November, I want to take a moment to thank you for your positive feedback and ongoing support. In the midst of Q4 with the U.S. earnings season in full swing, it's an exciting time for market watchers. We’re also seeing heightened market anticipation surrounding potential Fed rate decisions, which could influence volatility as we approach the holiday season and the upcoming U.S. presidential election.
We’re committed to bringing you valuable insights and strategies as we navigate these dynamic times. If you have any feedback on how we can make our newsletter even more helpful, please let us know. We’re here to add value to your trading journey. Thank you for being part of our community!
Your No.1 Fan,
Joey Choy
Market Overview
Singapore
Straits Times Index (TradingView)
Straits Times Index (STI) is a market capitalisation weighted index that tracks the performance of the top 30 companies listed on SGX.
The 3,650 resistance level continue to be intact where sellers are showing up as the index approach this level, with the 20d MA flattening, indicating prices have been moving sideways, however with the longer term uptrend still pointing up
The immediate support level being around 3,500 where previous was turned from a resistance to a support, price could continue to consolidate within the range of 3,500 to 3,650 before a breakout pattern appears
Potential upside target toward 3,800 if resistance level gives way forming a new all time high for the index, however caution should still be exercise especially if the 20d moving average is not able to regain its footing above the 3,500 level.
China pledge to “significantly increase” debt to revive its economy but it brought about doubts from investors regarding the size of the stimulus package, raising concerns over the longevity of the recent stock market rally.
Despite a cautious hiring outlook amid global trade tensions, economists remain optimistic about labor demand in service industries, bolstered by year-end hiring and a favorable economic forecast for Singapore in 2025.
Hot News (Click to read):
Dow Jones Industrial Average (TradingView)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tracks the daily price movements of 30 large, public-owned blue-chip American companies.
Price is pulling back to retest the 41,500 support level after reaching the 43,500 resistance level in mid October. If support is broken, we may potentially see more weakness back to the psychological 40,000 level.
S&P 500 (TradingView)
S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization weighted index of the 500 leading companies in the US which is widely considered as one of the best gauge of the US economy.
Likewise for SPX, index is also pulling back to retest the 5,670 level. Immediate psychological resistance remains at 6,000, while next key support level to take note is around 5,400.
Meanwhile, the U.S. election campaign continues to draw attention, with Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump neck-and-neck in recent polling.
This close race is likely to add another layer of uncertainty and could drive further market fluctuations. Additionally, the past week’s jam-packed economic calendar, together with multiple big tech earnings resulted in some large movements in the market.
The U.S. market landscape is currently influenced by a steady rise in long-term bond yields, driven by reduced investor expectations for aggressive rate cuts from the Fed.
Concerns are also mounting around potentially higher budget deficits, especially if Donald Trump wins the presidential election, which has fueled the recent uptick in yields.
Hot News (Click to read):
Singapore Earnings Calendar
Note that the below information is taken from the dates displayed on Yahoo! Finance. The below calendar is not exhaustive. Please refer to Yahoo! Finance and SGX Announcement for exact dates & timings.
United States Earnings Calendar
Note that the below information is taken from the dates found on Earnings Whispers and Nasdaq. We've exclusively chosen stocks favored by investors with widely recognized names. The below calendar is not exhaustive. Please refer to Earnings Whispers & Nasdaq for the full list.
Singapore Stocks Spotlight
GLD US$(O87.SI)
Target Price: US$265.00
GLD US$ (TradingView)
GLD US$ (1GT System)
No Signal Yet
About GLD US$
ETF managed and marketed by State Street Global Advisors
Designed to initially track the price of a tenth of a troy ounce of gold
Fundamental
Gold provides a natural hedge against inflation and is generally regarded as a safe-haven investment
Trading GLD shares in the secondary market or via a Trust may be lower than the costs associated with buying, storing and insuring physical gold in a traditional allocated gold bullion account
Inverse relationship between gold prices and US dollar
In view of Feds cutting interest rates, US dollar could potentially depreciate
Technical
Immediate support looks to be around 247.50, which was previously the resistance where sellers returned as seen in Sep
All 3 MAs are still heading up with bullish implications
If prices pullback, potential accumulation on the dips near support zone
As long as support holds, would not rule out more upside towards 265 - 270 where selling pressure could return
SATS (S58.SI)
Target Price: S$4.40
SATS (TradingView)
SATS (1GT System)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 25 Oct 24, No Exit Signal Yet
About SATS
Top provider of gateway services and food solutions in Asia, dominates the in-flight catering and ground-handling services at Singapore's Changi Airport
The Food Solutions segment provides in-flight and institutional catering, food processing, distribution services, and airline laundry services.
The Gateway Services segment offers both airport and cruise terminal services
Fundamental
Successfully repriced the contract of one of its major customers, SIA, which accounted for 17.3% of FY24 revenue.
Potential additional revenue could be expected from cargo handling fees, directly affecting their bottom lines
Cargo volumes have been steadily increasing,
Management has continued to show that they are able to improve cost management and operating leverage
Technical
Price recently broke and closed above the the 3.85 resistance level with a long bullish candlestick on 25 Oct
Upward sloping channel support line remains intact with all 3 MAs heading higher
Immediate resistance around 4.10 where selling pressure could return first as seen by the long upper shadow on 25 Oct
If price can firmly break and hold above 4.10, to revise potential upside target towards 4.50
KEPPEL DC REIT (AJBU.SI)
Target Price: S$2.60
Keppel DC REIT (TradingView)
Keppel DC REIT (1GT System)
No Signal Yet
About Keppel DC REIT
Keppel DC REIT is a real investment trust company, which engages in investing in real estate assets.
Focusing on investment directly and indirectly in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate assets used mainly for data center purposes and real estate related assets, with an initial focus on Asia Pacific and Europe.
Fundamental
Holding a high-quality portfolio of data centers in APAC and Europe, benefiting from strong demand in the sector and consistently high occupancy rates.
Backed by a strong sponsor, KDCREIT has access to a pipeline of assets and development capabilities to expand its portfolio further.
Potential acquisitions as interest rates stabilize, which could serve as a key growth catalyst.
Technical
Uptrend reversal confirmation came in Aug when 100d crossed above the 200d MA
Upward sloping channel support line remains intact with all 3 MAs heading higher
Immediate resistance is around 2.30 and key support level around 2.10
If price can recapture the 2.30 level, potential upside target towards 2.60, where prices tested this level multiple times back in late 2020 to early 2021
United States Stocks Spotlight
WALMART INC (WMT.NY)
Target Price: US$90.00
Walmart Inc (TradingView)
Walmart Inc (1GT System)
1GT Bullish Entry Signal Appeared on 31 Oct 24, No Exit Signal Yet
About Walmart Inc
Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail, wholesale, other units, and eCommerce worldwide
Operating through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club
Additionally, the company markets lines of merchandise under private brands, including Allswell, Athletic Works, Equate, and Free Assembly
Fundamental
Walmart has seen significant expansion in its e-commerce sector, with 20% year-over-year growth and a 32% increase in its marketplace services.
Walmart's initiatives in automation and digitalization, including AI-driven cost reductions and automating nearly 3,000 stores, have contributed to expanding operating margins and overall profitability.
Largest market share in online grocery sales in the U.S. (around 27%) and is growing its high-margin advertising business, expected to reach $4 billion
Technical
Uptrend is firmly intact as all 3 MAs are still heading upwards with no signs of reversals yet
Price is approaching the 84 resistance level, where some selling pressure might return
Immediate support is around 77 where buyers came in and price rebounded about 5% within 5 trading days
Key psychological resistance looks to be around 90, where some profit-taking could happen
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING COMPANY (TSM.NY)
Target Price: US$230.00
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TradingView)
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (1GT System)
No Signal Yet
About Taiwan Semiconductor
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices
Also offers customer support and engineering services
Its products are used in high performance computing, smartphone, Internet of things, automotive, and digital consumer electronics
Fundamental
Advanced process technologies and high demand for AI chips are expected to sustain nearly 30% annual revenue growth over the next few years
TSMC has redefined its role with Foundry 2.0, expanding into packaging, testing, and mask-making, increasing its addressable market while supporting higher
With strong free cash flow and substantial investment in advanced nodes and overseas diversification, TSMC is well-positioned to address rising demand and geopolitical risks
Technical
Uptrend started firming up in Feb 2024 with all 3 MAs heading upwards
Both short-term & longer-term trend are aligned
Prices is currently retesting the support around 192 - 195
If support is broken we may see more weakness back towards 160
If buyers return and support holds, would not rule out more upside towards 230 where some profit-taking can occur
NETFLIX INC (NFLX.NQ)
Target Price: US$800.00
Netflix Inc (TradingView)
Netflix Inc (1GT System)
1GT Bullish Signal Appeared on 18 Oct 24, No Exit Signal Yet
About Netflix Inc
Netflix, Inc. engages in providing entertainment services.
Offering activities for leisure time, entertainment video, video gaming, and other sources of entertainment.
Providing its members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices.
Fundamental
Ad-supported tier is emerging as a key revenue stream, with live events expected to bring significant ad revenue growth
Profit margins have been temporarily boosted by reduced content spending during the Hollywood writers' strike, but as these costs normalize, maintaining current earnings growth may be challenging
Technical
Price has recently gapped up and broke the 730 resistance level on earning results, turning it to become the new higher support
All 3 MAs are still heading up, with no signs of reversal yet
730 - 740 is near the new higher support level to potentially accumulate on the dips
As long as price is able to hold firmly above new higher support, potential upside target towards psychological resistance around 800, where some selling pressure can return first
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